--- title: "The structural liquidity deficit averaged ₽3.6 trillion in October, an increase of ₽0.6 trillion… — truecon — DecisionGateway" description: "statement by truecon, recorded recently — verbatim quote and source citation." canonical_url: "https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d107-cd7f-76a0-8fdd-2f4a054f3952" meta: "og:description": "statement by truecon, recorded recently — verbatim quote and source citation." "og:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg" "og:image:alt": "White network of connected nodes crossed by a timeline on black" "og:image:height": "1024" "og:image:width": "1024" "og:title": "The structural liquidity deficit averaged ₽3.6 trillion in October, an increase of ₽0.6 trillion… — truecon — DecisionGateway" "twitter:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg" --- > Index of every page on this site: [llms.txt](https://dgw.tmarket.io/llms.txt) statement # **The structural liquidity deficit averaged ₽3.6 trillion in October, an increase of ₽0.6 trillion over the month.** A statement by [**truecon**](https://dgw.tmarket.io/actors/01a1d549-f39e-730f-9f95-78ab0f818ce5). Statements are as reported by the cited publishers — not verified by DecisionGateway. > *структурный дефицит ликвидности в среднем за месяц ₽3.6 трлн, т.е. +₽0.6 трлн за месяц* trueconPublished 2026-11-03 [ Read source](https://t.me/truecon/5975) [**truecon dossier **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/actors/01a1d549-f39e-730f-9f95-78ab0f818ce5) ## **Related claims** [**Net durable liquidity as on October 15, 2026 was 7,93,409.00 (surplus).**RBI liquidity data table · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1cc88-4746-77e2-a243-451489abf9dd) [**The budget apparently closed October better than expectations again, judging by liquidity flows: despite insignificant borrowing (₽0.13 trillion), deposits in banks grew by ₽0.66 trillion, and another ₽0.2 trillion went to budget accounts at the Central Bank.**truecon · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d107-ce8e-7526-a176-8ef0bfa23ca0) [**The increase in the liquidity deficit was partly due to growth in cash (₽0.2 trillion), partly due to budget operations (₽0.2 trillion) and other factors, including growth in required reserves.**truecon · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d107-cdb8-7bbd-91ae-31a66baca4f0) [**The total deviation of actually received oil and gas revenues from the expected monthly volume and the estimate of the base monthly volume of oil and gas revenues for October 2026 was -78.53 billion rubles.**minfin · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1ce9b-7cb9-7c63-a080-0f74ef6ec553) [**The outflow into cash over the month was about ₽0.2 trillion, and the slowdown in the outflow continues, though this partly reflects seasonal dynamics since demand for cash always declines in autumn.**truecon · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d107-cdde-77f2-bb69-5abf5c03dbc6) [**US trade deficit came in slightly better than expected at -105.0 billion dollars versus an estimated -107.9 billion and a previous -105.7 billion.**analisisbankinter · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1cc39-3b23-723e-8b49-e37c124aba52) ## **More claims by truecon** [**Inflation expectations declined slightly but remain high: 4.3% for one year and 3.4% for five years; overall, everything points to the Fed having to raise rates in December.**prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f58c-7104-b2d0-4d8a582a59ed) [**The financial conditions index is at extremely comfortable levels, the financial stress index likewise, and the key rate can hardly be characterized as tight.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f545-78cf-934b-b7b220b1f44d) [**Hourly wage growth accelerated slightly to 0.4% m/m and 3.1% y/y; weekly jobless claims were only 189 thousand, and the number of Americans on benefits was about 1.7 million — lows since 2023.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f503-7b3f-89a7-d682f7c833f7) [**The number of open vacancies rose to 7.5 million, and the ratio of vacancies to unemployed rose to 1.06.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f4cf-7cda-adff-6b49cd680964) [**The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, the labor force participation rate rose to 61.9%, and the employment-to-population ratio rose to 59.3% — all indicators improved by 0.1 percentage points over the month.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f4ab-7818-a96e-3418bbeeef2f) [All claims by truecon](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims?claimant_id=01a1d549-f39e-730f-9f95-78ab0f818ce5) [All claims](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims) ```json {"@context":"https://schema.org","@graph":[{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/#website","@type":"WebSite","description":"Decisions, events and falsifiable forecasts from 3,800+ Telegram channels — every claim cited. 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