--- title: "The outflow into cash over the month was about ₽0.2 trillion, and the slowdown in the outflow… — truecon — DecisionGateway" description: "statement by truecon, recorded recently — verbatim quote and source citation." canonical_url: "https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d107-cdde-77f2-bb69-5abf5c03dbc6" meta: "og:description": "statement by truecon, recorded recently — verbatim quote and source citation." "og:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg" "og:image:alt": "White network of connected nodes crossed by a timeline on black" "og:image:height": "1024" "og:image:width": "1024" "og:title": "The outflow into cash over the month was about ₽0.2 trillion, and the slowdown in the outflow… — truecon — DecisionGateway" "twitter:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg" --- > Index of every page on this site: [llms.txt](https://dgw.tmarket.io/llms.txt) statement # **The outflow into cash over the month was about ₽0.2 trillion, and the slowdown in the outflow continues, though this partly reflects seasonal dynamics since demand for cash always declines in autumn.** A statement by [**truecon**](https://dgw.tmarket.io/actors/01a1d549-f39e-730f-9f95-78ab0f818ce5). Statements are as reported by the cited publishers — not verified by DecisionGateway. > *Отток в наличные за месяц около ₽0.2 трлн - замедление оттока продолжается, хотя это отчасти отражает сезонную динамику, т.к. осенью спрос на наличные всегда снижается.* trueconPublished 2026-11-03 [ Read source](https://t.me/truecon/5975) [**truecon dossier **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/actors/01a1d549-f39e-730f-9f95-78ab0f818ce5) ## **Related claims** [**The outflow into "cash" remains elevated for now but is gradually normalizing.**truecon · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d10b-104c-788b-972e-63526bf1528b) [**The volume of cash grew by ₽0.2 trln (+1.1% m/m and +22.1% y/y), the share of cash in the economy is 15.4%, and growth here mainly reflects seasonal factors.**truecon · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d10b-0fb4-7fda-a3b1-fa0404042c20) [**Seasonally adjusted, cash growth slowed to about 14–15% (SAAR), slightly above M2 growth rates, but the process has clearly begun to subside.**truecon · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d107-cdfd-7566-8a4d-e545a74efaa6) [**In November the dynamics promise to be similar, with strong fluctuations in cash in December amid salary payments and budget expenditures.**truecon · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d107-ce45-754d-91a3-63a6f370ea33) [**In the May version (1-МР), the same 5 million over 30 days was a reason to look closer only if cash made up at least 70% of account inflows and at least 70% of that left via transfers abroad within about 10 days; the bank reviewed this after the fact.**ЦБ · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1bbe5-2772-77ec-b1e0-0f8305c08964) [**The increase in the liquidity deficit was partly due to growth in cash (₽0.2 trillion), partly due to budget operations (₽0.2 trillion) and other factors, including growth in required reserves.**truecon · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d107-cdb8-7bbd-91ae-31a66baca4f0) ## **More claims by truecon** [**Inflation expectations declined slightly but remain high: 4.3% for one year and 3.4% for five years; overall, everything points to the Fed having to raise rates in December.**prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f58c-7104-b2d0-4d8a582a59ed) [**The financial conditions index is at extremely comfortable levels, the financial stress index likewise, and the key rate can hardly be characterized as tight.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f545-78cf-934b-b7b220b1f44d) [**Hourly wage growth accelerated slightly to 0.4% m/m and 3.1% y/y; weekly jobless claims were only 189 thousand, and the number of Americans on benefits was about 1.7 million — lows since 2023.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f503-7b3f-89a7-d682f7c833f7) [**The number of open vacancies rose to 7.5 million, and the ratio of vacancies to unemployed rose to 1.06.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f4cf-7cda-adff-6b49cd680964) [**The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, the labor force participation rate rose to 61.9%, and the employment-to-population ratio rose to 59.3% — all indicators improved by 0.1 percentage points over the month.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f4ab-7818-a96e-3418bbeeef2f) [All claims by truecon](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims?claimant_id=01a1d549-f39e-730f-9f95-78ab0f818ce5) [All claims](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims) ```json {"@context":"https://schema.org","@graph":[{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/#website","@type":"WebSite","description":"Decisions, events and falsifiable forecasts from 3,000+ Telegram channels — every claim cited. 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