--- title: "In November the dynamics promise to be similar, with strong fluctuations in cash in December amid… — truecon — DecisionGateway" description: "prediction by truecon, recorded recently — verbatim quote and source citation." canonical_url: "https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d107-ce45-754d-91a3-63a6f370ea33" meta: "og:description": "prediction by truecon, recorded recently — verbatim quote and source citation." "og:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg" "og:image:alt": "White network of connected nodes crossed by a timeline on black" "og:image:height": "1024" "og:image:width": "1024" "og:title": "In November the dynamics promise to be similar, with strong fluctuations in cash in December amid… — truecon — DecisionGateway" "twitter:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg" --- > Index of every page on this site: [llms.txt](https://dgw.tmarket.io/llms.txt) prediction # **In November the dynamics promise to be similar, with strong fluctuations in cash in December amid salary payments and budget expenditures.** A prediction by [**truecon**](https://dgw.tmarket.io/actors/01a1d549-f39e-730f-9f95-78ab0f818ce5). Statements are as reported by the cited publishers — not verified by DecisionGateway. > *В ноябре динамика обещает быть похожей, сильные колебания наличных будут в декабре на фоне выплат з/п и бюджетных расходов.* trueconPublished 2026-11-03 [ Read source](https://t.me/truecon/5975) [**truecon dossier **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/actors/01a1d549-f39e-730f-9f95-78ab0f818ce5) ## **Related claims** [**By the end of the year, the Central Bank's forecast for the growth of cash in circulation will most likely come true: plus 3.7 trillion rubles, to 23.1 trillion rubles.**thebell\_io · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1cb88-a5b9-7591-8260-2bfd4e04707f) [**In total, from November 9 to December 4, currency worth ₽312.6 billion will be purchased, or ₽15.6 billion per day.**Минфина · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-bf2f-7bf8-a4ae-1a52d1455103) [**The outflow into cash over the month was about ₽0.2 trillion, and the slowdown in the outflow continues, though this partly reflects seasonal dynamics since demand for cash always declines in autumn.**truecon · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d107-cdde-77f2-bb69-5abf5c03dbc6) [**Given the budget advances at the start of the year, there is every chance of fitting into the Bank of Russia's forecast, though closer to its upper bound of 11-12% for December.**truecon · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d10b-0f86-7f4f-9e1c-3695ed49a559) [**November will be the second month of 2026 in which they receive an extraordinary payment of 3,359.60 euros.**diario\_larazon · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1cd5c-8e77-72a0-b856-288cc3107002) [**In October both revenues and expenditures should have grown; the growth in expenditures is partly due to the concentration of coupon payments specifically in October, and partly due to advances in the first month of the quarter.**truecon · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d107-ceb7-7c6d-9779-65a6d65a4c23) ## **More claims by truecon** [**Inflation expectations declined slightly but remain high: 4.3% for one year and 3.4% for five years; overall, everything points to the Fed having to raise rates in December.**prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f58c-7104-b2d0-4d8a582a59ed) [**The financial conditions index is at extremely comfortable levels, the financial stress index likewise, and the key rate can hardly be characterized as tight.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f545-78cf-934b-b7b220b1f44d) [**Hourly wage growth accelerated slightly to 0.4% m/m and 3.1% y/y; weekly jobless claims were only 189 thousand, and the number of Americans on benefits was about 1.7 million — lows since 2023.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f503-7b3f-89a7-d682f7c833f7) [**The number of open vacancies rose to 7.5 million, and the ratio of vacancies to unemployed rose to 1.06.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f4cf-7cda-adff-6b49cd680964) [**The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, the labor force participation rate rose to 61.9%, and the employment-to-population ratio rose to 59.3% — all indicators improved by 0.1 percentage points over the month.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f4ab-7818-a96e-3418bbeeef2f) [All claims by truecon](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims?claimant_id=01a1d549-f39e-730f-9f95-78ab0f818ce5) [All claims](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims) ```json {"@context":"https://schema.org","@graph":[{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/#website","@type":"WebSite","description":"Decisions, events and falsifiable forecasts from 3,800+ Telegram channels — every claim cited. 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