--- title: "Disinflation in gasoline is expected (-2% w/w) as autumn consumption falls substantially, which by… — truecon — DecisionGateway" description: "prediction by truecon, recorded recently — verbatim quote and source citation." canonical_url: "https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d10b-1100-7d18-8721-d220ef732f9f" meta: "og:description": "prediction by truecon, recorded recently — verbatim quote and source citation." "og:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg" "og:image:alt": "White network of connected nodes crossed by a timeline on black" "og:image:height": "1024" "og:image:width": "1024" "og:title": "Disinflation in gasoline is expected (-2% w/w) as autumn consumption falls substantially, which by… — truecon — DecisionGateway" "twitter:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg" --- > Index of every page on this site: [llms.txt](https://dgw.tmarket.io/llms.txt) prediction # **Disinflation in gasoline is expected (-2% w/w) as autumn consumption falls substantially, which by itself balances the market even with the retirement of refining capacity; the question is the scale of the correction.** A prediction by [**truecon**](https://dgw.tmarket.io/actors/01a1d549-f39e-730f-9f95-78ab0f818ce5). Statements are as reported by the cited publishers — not verified by DecisionGateway. > *Дезинфляция в бензине ожидаема (-2% н/н), осенью потребление существенно сокращается, что само по себе балансирует рынок (даже при выбытии мощностей переработки), вопрос масштабов коррекции.* trueconPublished 2026-11-07 [ Read source](https://t.me/truecon/5987) [**truecon dossier **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/actors/01a1d549-f39e-730f-9f95-78ab0f818ce5) ## **Discussion** ## **Related claims** [**In October the situation on the fuel market stabilized, but the increase in housing and utility tariffs had an additional effect on inflation.**Резюме обсуждения ключевой ставки · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d10a-eb3f-7d16-9e62-cb4946323dba) [**The expert predicted a rise in prices for gasoline and diesel along with a devaluation of the tenge.**эксперт · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1ca18-c76a-7b42-ac86-89022c9bae32) [**Experts warn of possible growth in demand for oils, price increases and risks of supply disruptions against the backdrop of permitting the sale of lower environmental class gasoline.**эксперты · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1c083-61c6-735c-97cf-5b379fb34167) [**October data are positive, but it is too early to speak of a sustained recovery in consumer demand; the improvement in sentiment partly coincided with lower gasoline prices, while purchasing power remains under pressure.**capitalizator\_ua · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d219-980f-7d94-aded-65b01b0764de) [**Inflation in October remained low at 0.0% m/m (sa) and +0.7% y/y; fuel price growth (20% y/y) and smartphones (+16.1% y/y) were offset by falling food prices.**truecon · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d10c-9d5e-7e78-b3db-9c05ef3fd8d8) [**The total deviation of actually received oil and gas revenues from the expected monthly volume and the estimate of the base monthly volume of oil and gas revenues for October 2026 was -78.53 billion rubles.**minfin · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1ce9b-7cb9-7c63-a080-0f74ef6ec553) ## **More claims by truecon** [**Inflation expectations declined slightly but remain high: 4.3% for one year and 3.4% for five years; overall, everything points to the Fed having to raise rates in December.**prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f58c-7104-b2d0-4d8a582a59ed) [**The financial conditions index is at extremely comfortable levels, the financial stress index likewise, and the key rate can hardly be characterized as tight.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f545-78cf-934b-b7b220b1f44d) [**Hourly wage growth accelerated slightly to 0.4% m/m and 3.1% y/y; weekly jobless claims were only 189 thousand, and the number of Americans on benefits was about 1.7 million — lows since 2023.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f503-7b3f-89a7-d682f7c833f7) [**The number of open vacancies rose to 7.5 million, and the ratio of vacancies to unemployed rose to 1.06.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f4cf-7cda-adff-6b49cd680964) [**The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, the labor force participation rate rose to 61.9%, and the employment-to-population ratio rose to 59.3% — all indicators improved by 0.1 percentage points over the month.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f4ab-7818-a96e-3418bbeeef2f) [All claims by truecon](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims?claimant_id=01a1d549-f39e-730f-9f95-78ab0f818ce5) [All claims](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims) ```json {"@context":"https://schema.org","@graph":[{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/#website","@type":"WebSite","description":"Decisions, events and falsifiable forecasts from 4,000+ Telegram channels — every claim cited. 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