--- title: "In the author's view, inflation will run at 6-7% (SAAR) for Q4, against the CBR forecast of… — truecon — DecisionGateway" description: "prediction by truecon, recorded recently — verbatim quote and source citation." canonical_url: "https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d10b-114a-714a-bd75-dfc5544bb628" meta: "og:description": "prediction by truecon, recorded recently — verbatim quote and source citation." "og:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg" "og:image:alt": "White network of connected nodes crossed by a timeline on black" "og:image:height": "1024" "og:image:width": "1024" "og:title": "In the author's view, inflation will run at 6-7% (SAAR) for Q4, against the CBR forecast of… — truecon — DecisionGateway" "twitter:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg" --- > Index of every page on this site: [llms.txt](https://dgw.tmarket.io/llms.txt) prediction # **In the author's view, inflation will run at 6-7% (SAAR) for Q4, against the CBR forecast of 7.5-9.5% (SAAR).** A prediction by [**truecon**](https://dgw.tmarket.io/actors/01a1d549-f39e-730f-9f95-78ab0f818ce5). Statements are as reported by the cited publishers — not verified by DecisionGateway. > *В моей картине мира пока идем на 6-7% (SAAR) по итогам 4 квартала против прогноза ЦБ 7.5-9.5% (SAAR).* trueconPublished 2026-11-07 [ Read source](https://t.me/truecon/5987) [**truecon dossier **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/actors/01a1d549-f39e-730f-9f95-78ab0f818ce5) ## **Related claims** [**According to the updated forecast, inflation will be 7.1–7.6% in 2026 and will return to 4% in 2027.**Резюме обсуждения ключевой ставки · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d10a-ec38-74fc-bcbe-432b64e20a72) [**Inflation is likely to rise slightly above 4% by the end of the year.**Philip Lane · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1cd10-2d15-7c6a-b798-966996ea29b1) [**Inflation expectations declined slightly but remain high: 4.3% for one year and 3.4% for five years; overall, everything points to the Fed having to raise rates in December.**truecon · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f58c-7104-b2d0-4d8a582a59ed) [**Inflation is forecast at around 7 percent at the end of 2026 and at the 5 percent target level at the end of 2027.**Markaziy bank · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1c8c4-2bcf-7495-a433-940f61056147) [**The Central Bank expects inflation to reach about 7% by the end of the year, taking into account planned increases in some regulated prices, so annual inflation is likely to move towards that level by December.**Central Bank · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1ca83-8379-77b8-b52f-b25d9e07cd6a) [**US inflation is expected to repeat at +3.7%.**el mercado · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1cc2a-bbb7-7ed1-b592-83c30deb4c24) ## **More claims by truecon** [**Inflation expectations declined slightly but remain high: 4.3% for one year and 3.4% for five years; overall, everything points to the Fed having to raise rates in December.**prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f58c-7104-b2d0-4d8a582a59ed) [**The financial conditions index is at extremely comfortable levels, the financial stress index likewise, and the key rate can hardly be characterized as tight.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f545-78cf-934b-b7b220b1f44d) [**Hourly wage growth accelerated slightly to 0.4% m/m and 3.1% y/y; weekly jobless claims were only 189 thousand, and the number of Americans on benefits was about 1.7 million — lows since 2023.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f503-7b3f-89a7-d682f7c833f7) [**The number of open vacancies rose to 7.5 million, and the ratio of vacancies to unemployed rose to 1.06.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f4cf-7cda-adff-6b49cd680964) [**The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, the labor force participation rate rose to 61.9%, and the employment-to-population ratio rose to 59.3% — all indicators improved by 0.1 percentage points over the month.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f4ab-7818-a96e-3418bbeeef2f) [All claims by truecon](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims?claimant_id=01a1d549-f39e-730f-9f95-78ab0f818ce5) [All claims](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims) ```json {"@context":"https://schema.org","@graph":[{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/#website","@type":"WebSite","description":"Decisions, events and falsifiable forecasts from 3,800+ Telegram channels — every claim cited. 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