--- title: "At the ECB, by May there will be changes in key positions: chief economist (currently Philip Lane)… — truecon — DecisionGateway" description: "prediction by truecon, recorded 2026-11-02 — verbatim quote and source citation." canonical_url: "https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d10f-7567-7496-81eb-8d31ae34a708" meta: "og:description": "prediction by truecon, recorded 2026-11-02 — verbatim quote and source citation." "og:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg" "og:image:alt": "White network of connected nodes crossed by a timeline on black" "og:image:height": "1024" "og:image:width": "1024" "og:title": "At the ECB, by May there will be changes in key positions: chief economist (currently Philip Lane)… — truecon — DecisionGateway" "twitter:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg" --- > Index of every page on this site: [llms.txt](https://dgw.tmarket.io/llms.txt) predictionSaid on 2026-11-02 # **At the ECB, by May there will be changes in key positions: chief economist (currently Philip Lane) and head of the markets department (Isabel Schnabel), i.e. a personnel deal on key positions is ahead.** A prediction by [**truecon**](https://dgw.tmarket.io/actors/01a1d549-f39e-730f-9f95-78ab0f818ce5), said on 2026-11-02. Statements are as reported by the cited publishers — not verified by DecisionGateway. > *Также в ЕЦБ к маю будут изменения на ключевых позициях главного экономиста (сейчас Филип Лейн) и главы отдела рынков (Изабель Шнабель), т.е. предстоит кадровая сделка по ключевым позициям.* trueconPublished 2026-11-02 [ Read source](https://t.me/truecon/5974) [**truecon dossier **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/actors/01a1d549-f39e-730f-9f95-78ab0f818ce5) ## **Discussion** ## **Related claims** [**The head of the ECB, K. Lagarde, is leaving in February of next year, on 7 February 2027.**truecon · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d10f-74d3-77c9-a681-3eb1414d368d) [**France historically has dominant positions in influencing the choice of the ECB head, so a change of power there may have a strong influence on the appointment of the future head of the central bank.**truecon · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d10f-751f-744e-a203-829d6ed297af) [**The dominant reason for the slightly earlier departure (official term 31 October 2027) is the elections in France in the spring, so as to manage to appoint a new ECB head before the elections.**truecon · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d10f-7503-7e99-a27a-a78a5fe6b0e9) [**One of the key problems is approving a successor to the post of head of the European Central Bank.**Портал Rapporteur · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1bfca-2113-75eb-9c50-efb987ed340b) [**EABR expects the key rate to stay at 14% until February–March 2027.**ЕАБР · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d787-54d8-717e-9202-adfd4dd48907) [**The ECB chief economist supports raising interest rates in December if data do not change.**dubaotiente · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1cd10-2dc0-7745-b2b2-1b67a71c0eac) ## **More claims by truecon** [**Inflation expectations declined slightly but remain high: 4.3% for one year and 3.4% for five years; overall, everything points to the Fed having to raise rates in December.**prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f58c-7104-b2d0-4d8a582a59ed) [**The financial conditions index is at extremely comfortable levels, the financial stress index likewise, and the key rate can hardly be characterized as tight.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f545-78cf-934b-b7b220b1f44d) [**Hourly wage growth accelerated slightly to 0.4% m/m and 3.1% y/y; weekly jobless claims were only 189 thousand, and the number of Americans on benefits was about 1.7 million — lows since 2023.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f503-7b3f-89a7-d682f7c833f7) [**The number of open vacancies rose to 7.5 million, and the ratio of vacancies to unemployed rose to 1.06.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f4cf-7cda-adff-6b49cd680964) [**The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, the labor force participation rate rose to 61.9%, and the employment-to-population ratio rose to 59.3% — all indicators improved by 0.1 percentage points over the month.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f4ab-7818-a96e-3418bbeeef2f) [All claims by truecon](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims?claimant_id=01a1d549-f39e-730f-9f95-78ab0f818ce5) [All claims](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims) ```json {"@context":"https://schema.org","@graph":[{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/#website","@type":"WebSite","description":"Decisions, events and falsifiable forecasts from 4,000+ Telegram channels — every claim cited. 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