--- title: "Overall, the long-term trend of the bond market is relatively strong, but the pace of phased… — 付裕 — DecisionGateway" description: "prediction by 付裕, recorded recently — verbatim quote and source citation." canonical_url: "https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d246-d51b-7cb4-8ebf-5a853b989018" meta: "og:description": "prediction by 付裕, recorded recently — verbatim quote and source citation." "og:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg" "og:image:alt": "White network of connected nodes crossed by a timeline on black" "og:image:height": "1024" "og:image:width": "1024" "og:title": "Overall, the long-term trend of the bond market is relatively strong, but the pace of phased… — 付裕 — DecisionGateway" "twitter:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg" --- > Index of every page on this site: [llms.txt](https://dgw.tmarket.io/llms.txt) prediction # **Overall, the long-term trend of the bond market is relatively strong, but the pace of phased increases may slow, making range-bound, box-range movements more likely, with pullback opportunities and lower cost-effectiveness of chasing highs.** A prediction by [**付裕**](https://dgw.tmarket.io/actors/01a1d246-d4f6-77aa-ad18-725019fb777e). Statements are as reported by the cited publishers — not verified by DecisionGateway. > *总体来看，债市长期趋势较强，但阶段性上涨速率可能会放缓，更容易产生区间震荡、箱体运行的走势，有回调机会，追高性价比下降。* financial\_expressPublished 2026-11-10 [ Read source](https://t.me/financial_express/3614692) [**付裕 dossier **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/actors/01a1d246-d4f6-77aa-ad18-725019fb777e) ## **Related claims** [**From a valuation and crowding trading perspective, long-end bond yields are already at historical lows and duration is crowded, meaning the risk-reward ratio has declined; once there is a negative disturbance, volatility will significantly amplify.**付裕 · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d246-d514-7bce-8301-6ca81bc021c3) [**For today's session, slight declines are likely; bonds and value sectors will act as a refuge while uncertainty persists.**SESIÓN · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1cc3a-8333-75eb-b89c-c7bfae1b76ad) [**French bond prices have already fully priced in some pessimistic scenarios and offer a value investing opportunity.**穆迪 · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1cbce-90dc-726f-af71-7dc045fd3386) [**The credit strategist team led by Ning Luo said many bond issuers can absorb higher debt costs, but sovereign governments with high deficits and large shares of short-term debt, as well as highly leveraged companies, will face the greatest pressure.**信贷策略师团队 · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1cbdc-3ad2-7819-83ef-bf1901143d5f) [**On the market portion of the debt the rate rose to 3.57%; long- and medium-term debt is still fairly cheap at 3.4-3.5% per annum versus market rates of 4.8-5.3%, and inertial growth here will continue for a long time since paper with rates averaging up to 2.5% per annum is being redeemed.**truecon · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d105-d524-7702-96c9-0d42c079a7c3) [**Term Money, Triparty Repo, Market Repo and Repo in Corporate Bond in the term segment all recorded zero volume.**bank\_nbfc\_fintech · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1cc72-01d6-7a63-a334-cf71ccaa3e61) ## **More claims by 付裕** [**From a valuation and crowding trading perspective, long-end bond yields are already at historical lows and duration is crowded, meaning the risk-reward ratio has declined; once there is a negative disturbance, volatility will significantly amplify.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d246-d514-7bce-8301-6ca81bc021c3) [**The fund's return sources include local government bond coupon income, duration trading in interest rate bonds, leverage carry contribution, and other yield curve opportunity trades.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d246-d50d-7bb3-96db-b5d2c5d0df6c) [All claims by 付裕](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims?claimant_id=01a1d246-d4f6-77aa-ad18-725019fb777e) [All claims](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims) ```json {"@context":"https://schema.org","@graph":[{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/#website","@type":"WebSite","description":"Decisions, events and falsifiable forecasts from 3,000+ Telegram channels — every claim cited. Read free.","name":"DecisionGateway","url":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/","publisher":{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/#identity"}},{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d246-d51b-7cb4-8ebf-5a853b989018#webpage","@type":"WebPage","description":"prediction by 付裕, recorded recently — verbatim quote and source citation.","name":"Overall, the long-term trend of the bond market is relatively strong, but the pace of phased… — 付裕 — DecisionGateway","url":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d246-d51b-7cb4-8ebf-5a853b989018","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d246-d51b-7cb4-8ebf-5a853b989018#breadcrumb"},"isPartOf":{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/#website"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d246-d51b-7cb4-8ebf-5a853b989018"]}]},{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/#identity","@type":"Organization","name":"DecisionGateway","url":"https://dgw.tmarket.io"},{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d246-d51b-7cb4-8ebf-5a853b989018#breadcrumb","@type":"BreadcrumbList","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","name":"Home","item":"https://dgw.tmarket.io","position":1},{"@type":"ListItem","name":"Claims","item":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims","position":2},{"@type":"ListItem","name":"Overall, the long-term trend of the bond market is…","position":3}]},{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d246-d51b-7cb4-8ebf-5a853b989018#/schema/quotation/1","@type":"Quotation","dateCreated":"2026-11-10","isBasedOn":"https://t.me/financial_express/3614692","text":"总体来看，债市长期趋势较强，但阶段性上涨速率可能会放缓，更容易产生区间震荡、箱体运行的走势，有回调机会，追高性价比下降。","url":"/claims/01a1d246-d51b-7cb4-8ebf-5a853b989018","spokenByCharacter":{"@type":"Person","name":"付裕","@id":"/actors/01a1d246-d4f6-77aa-ad18-725019fb777e"}}]} ``` ## Sitemap See the full [sitemap](https://dgw.tmarket.io/sitemap.md) for all pages.