--- title: "With a prolonged closure of the ports, the export capacity of the two countries will be only about… — UkrAgroConsult — DecisionGateway" description: "prediction by UkrAgroConsult, recorded 2026-11-08 — verbatim quote and source citation." canonical_url: "https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d368-ed39-7447-b604-61cc9107a589" meta: "og:description": "prediction by UkrAgroConsult, recorded 2026-11-08 — verbatim quote and source citation." "og:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg" "og:image:alt": "White network of connected nodes crossed by a timeline on black" "og:image:height": "1024" "og:image:width": "1024" "og:title": "With a prolonged closure of the ports, the export capacity of the two countries will be only about… — UkrAgroConsult — DecisionGateway" "twitter:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg" --- > Index of every page on this site: [llms.txt](https://dgw.tmarket.io/llms.txt) predictionSaid on 2026-11-08 # **With a prolonged closure of the ports, the export capacity of the two countries will be only about 60% of the level before July 2026.** A prediction by [**UkrAgroConsult**](https://dgw.tmarket.io/actors/01a1d369-3a2f-77b8-8157-a3cf2f296410), said on 2026-11-08. Statements are as reported by the cited publishers — not verified by DecisionGateway. > *Водночас за тривалого закриття портів експортні потужності двох країн становитимуть лише близько 60% від рівня до липня 2026 року.* ukragroconsultPublished 2026-11-08 [ Read source](https://t.me/ukragroconsult/8806) [**UkrAgroConsult dossier **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/actors/01a1d369-3a2f-77b8-8157-a3cf2f296410) ## **Discussion** ## **Related claims** [**Attacks on ports and shipping are reducing exports and foreign currency revenue, and the state is losing tax revenue.**post author · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d777-7f54-7c82-8718-622fda66ab0b) [**For 2026 it projects exporting between 820,000 and 930,000 tonnes.**axtronok · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1cdf9-5e8f-7659-930e-fc0b688730fa) [**The main reason for the export decline will be a nearly 11% drop in grain production to 36.12 million tonnes, against a record 40.56 million tonnes last year.**аташе USDA в Оттаві · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d36f-d1fe-7616-b7f0-11429416fdd8) [**A reduction in wheat production among other large exporters by 13% in 2026 will be an additional factor supporting prices and will limit the ability to compensate for the deficit of Black Sea supplies.**UkrAgroConsult · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d368-ed40-7d56-bde8-8f4228863ce6) [**The export estimate is lower than the official USDA forecast of 30.5 million tonnes but slightly exceeds the forecast of the Canadian Ministry of Agriculture of 28.75 million tonnes.**UkrAgroConsult · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d36f-d20f-7f29-8326-6c6ca5e1eb3b) [**Deterioration in the quality of part of the harvest, including a larger share of third-class spring wheat CWRS and feed grades, will have an additional impact on exports.**аташе USDA в Оттаві · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d36f-d21a-7465-bd02-a4680e5787e4) ## **More claims by UkrAgroConsult** [**Ukraine's share of EU imports fell from 9.42% to 3.82%, though the country retained third place among the largest suppliers.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d383-e8de-7e49-bb98-8f043d2903f1) [**In the first 17 weeks of the season, Ukrainian soybean supplies fell 60.5% to 144.52 thousand tonnes versus 365.61 thousand tonnes a year earlier.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d383-e8d5-79cb-aeb5-644ebd2d0b75) [**Total soybean imports to the EU over this period decreased only 2.4% to 3.79 million tonnes.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d383-e8ca-7c25-9484-d6776fc716e9) [**Imports from the US fell 59.8% to 577.18 thousand tonnes, and the share of American suppliers dropped to 15.24%.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d383-e8c0-7f21-a12c-afd6d4d88013) [**Brazil increased its share of total EU soybean imports to 78.39% at the start of the 2026/27 marketing year.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d383-e8a7-7008-b9a0-55f6ece31891) [All claims by UkrAgroConsult](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims?claimant_id=01a1d369-3a2f-77b8-8157-a3cf2f296410) [All claims](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims) ```json {"@context":"https://schema.org","@graph":[{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/#website","@type":"WebSite","description":"Decisions, events and falsifiable forecasts from 4,000+ Telegram channels — every claim cited. 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