---
title: "Most economists who track the Bank of Japan now estimate the interest rate will rise to 1.5% in… — most economists tracking the Bank of Japan — DecisionGateway"
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prediction

# **Most economists who track the Bank of Japan now estimate the interest rate will rise to 1.5% in December, which would be the fourth hike in the current cycle.**

A prediction by most economists tracking the Bank of Japan. Statements are as reported by the cited publishers — not verified by DecisionGateway.

> *רוב הכלכלנים שעוקבים אחר הבנק מעריכים כעת שהריבית תעלה ל 1.5% בדצמבר, וזו תהיה ההעלאה הרביעית במחזור הנוכחי.*

claltelegramPublished 2026-11-09 [ Read source](https://t.me/claltelegram/3107)

## **Discussion**

## **Related claims**

[**Signals in Japan are strengthening for a rate hike as early as December; the central bank's latest discussion summary shows several board members support an early hike toward a neutral rate, and one of them estimated it is significantly above 1%.**post author · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d957-9261-7584-b6c0-320c4d6d5f15) [**The Bank of Japan raised interest rates on the assumption that a positive cycle of wage and price increases is developing in Japan.**post author · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d954-6655-7e6d-8121-45dd3450a961) [**The Bank of Japan left its interest rate at 1.25% at the end of October, but declared for the first time since 2013 that core inflation had reached the 2% target, and clarified that a rate hike would be considered at every meeting.**post author · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d95d-3139-7586-85d1-4a9e24101f41) [**The pace of rate hikes in Japan may accelerate, and a terminal rate of up to 2.5% cannot now be ruled out, nearly double the current rate in Japan of 1.25%.**הפוסט · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d960-c257-7d39-8b58-176a2a6750d4) [**The BOJ will raise its policy rate from 1.25% to at least 2%.**Neil Parker · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1cbb2-cdba-7819-841d-6e9adebd71cc) [**A US CPI reading above expectations could strengthen estimates for a Fed rate hike in December and increase pressure on the yen.**post author · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d954-666d-7a14-a9dd-07181243306c)

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