---
title: "In the baseline scenario, the key rate will remain in double digits throughout 2027, with an… — ЦБ — DecisionGateway"
description: "prediction by ЦБ, recorded recently — verbatim quote and source citation."
canonical_url: "https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d997-90c7-7945-b10b-a8b346193626"
meta:
  "og:description": "prediction by ЦБ, recorded recently — verbatim quote and source citation."
  "og:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg"
  "og:image:alt": "White network of connected nodes crossed by a timeline on black"
  "og:image:height": "1024"
  "og:image:width": "1024"
  "og:title": "In the baseline scenario, the key rate will remain in double digits throughout 2027, with an… — ЦБ — DecisionGateway"
  "twitter:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg"
---

> Index of every page on this site: [llms.txt](https://dgw.tmarket.io/llms.txt)

prediction

# **In the baseline scenario, the key rate will remain in double digits throughout 2027, with an average level of 12.5–13.5%.**

A prediction by [**ЦБ**](https://dgw.tmarket.io/actors/01a1b68c-795f-729b-8f15-b4244280fcdb). Statements are as reported by the cited publishers — not verified by DecisionGateway.

> *В базовом сценарии ключевая ставка весь 2027 год останется двузначной, а средний её уровень составит 12,5–13,5%.*

babr24Published 2026-11-09 [ Read source](https://t.me/babr24/56603)

[**ЦБ dossier **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/actors/01a1b68c-795f-729b-8f15-b4244280fcdb)

## **Discussion**

## **Related claims**

[**The Bank of Russia raised the projected path of the key rate for 2027–2028; the average key rate in 2027 is expected in the range of 12.5–13.5% per annum.**Банк России · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d10a-ec06-7298-8397-39073cdcef79) [**EABR expects the key rate to stay at 14% until February–March 2027.**ЕАБР · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d787-54d8-717e-9202-adfd4dd48907) [**The Bank of Russia raised its forecast for the average key rate in 2027 to 12.5–13.5% from 10.5–12.5% previously.**ЕАБР · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d787-54ce-7a40-953d-10206cb21199) [**Following the discussion, the key rate was kept at 14% per annum.**Резюме обсуждения ключевой ставки · statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d10a-ebd3-76c1-8657-3fe50a293488) [**EABR expects the base rate to stay at 15.75% until the end of 2026.**ЕАБР · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d787-54b6-717b-b22c-6dea1609dbde) [**A rate hike is expected in December and another in 1Q27, bringing rates to the 4.25%/4.50% range.**analisisbankinter · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1cc23-9e54-7e99-9a10-9ecab1f4e5b7)

## **More claims by ЦБ**

[**The Central Bank expects inflation at 7.1–7.6% by the end of the year against a target of 4%.**prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d997-90d8-7558-862e-e8b176c76ea2) [**The Central Bank considers the growth of the share of non-cash payments its achievement: it increases the transparency of the financial system, reduces the costs of issuing and collecting cash and takes money out of the shadow sector of the economy.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1cb88-a4c7-7873-a187-a7b187125572) [**A request can be skipped if the bank already has documents for a comparable amount and volumes have not sharply increased.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1bbe5-2792-7802-85f9-83e5dcf4cac1) [**If documents are absent, incomplete or doubtful, or the amount is split, the bank is advised to consider refusing the operation under 115-ФЗ, filing a suspicious operation report and raising the client's risk level.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1bbe5-278b-77bd-83ce-46e8dc4ffc85) [**According to the Bank of Russia, the recommendation affects a "narrow segment of clients".**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1bbe5-2785-7795-a8a6-45b073a9247d)

[All claims by ЦБ](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims?claimant_id=01a1b68c-795f-729b-8f15-b4244280fcdb)

[All claims](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims)

```json
{"@context":"https://schema.org","@graph":[{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/#website","@type":"WebSite","description":"Decisions, events and falsifiable forecasts from 4,000+ Telegram channels — every claim cited. Read free.","name":"DecisionGateway","url":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/","publisher":{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/#identity"}},{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d997-90c7-7945-b10b-a8b346193626#webpage","@type":"WebPage","description":"prediction by ЦБ, recorded recently — verbatim quote and source citation.","name":"In the baseline scenario, the key rate will remain in double digits throughout 2027, with an… — ЦБ — DecisionGateway","url":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d997-90c7-7945-b10b-a8b346193626","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d997-90c7-7945-b10b-a8b346193626#breadcrumb"},"isPartOf":{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/#website"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d997-90c7-7945-b10b-a8b346193626"]}]},{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/#identity","@type":"Organization","name":"DecisionGateway","url":"https://dgw.tmarket.io"},{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d997-90c7-7945-b10b-a8b346193626#breadcrumb","@type":"BreadcrumbList","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","name":"Home","item":"https://dgw.tmarket.io","position":1},{"@type":"ListItem","name":"Claims","item":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims","position":2},{"@type":"ListItem","name":"In the baseline scenario, the key rate will remain in…","position":3}]},{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d997-90c7-7945-b10b-a8b346193626#/schema/quotation/1","@type":"Quotation","dateCreated":"2026-11-09","isBasedOn":"https://t.me/babr24/56603","text":"В базовом сценарии ключевая ставка весь 2027 год останется двузначной, а средний её уровень составит 12,5–13,5%.","url":"/claims/01a1d997-90c7-7945-b10b-a8b346193626","spokenByCharacter":{"@type":"Person","name":"ЦБ","@id":"/actors/01a1b68c-795f-729b-8f15-b4244280fcdb"}}]}
```

## Sitemap

See the full [sitemap](https://dgw.tmarket.io/sitemap.md) for all pages.