--- title: "The Central Bank expects inflation at 7.1–7.6% by the end of the year against a target of 4%. — ЦБ — DecisionGateway" description: "prediction by ЦБ, recorded recently — verbatim quote and source citation." canonical_url: "https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d997-90d8-7558-862e-e8b176c76ea2" meta: "og:description": "prediction by ЦБ, recorded recently — verbatim quote and source citation." "og:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg" "og:image:alt": "White network of connected nodes crossed by a timeline on black" "og:image:height": "1024" "og:image:width": "1024" "og:title": "The Central Bank expects inflation at 7.1–7.6% by the end of the year against a target of 4%. — ЦБ — DecisionGateway" "twitter:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg" --- > Index of every page on this site: [llms.txt](https://dgw.tmarket.io/llms.txt) prediction # **The Central Bank expects inflation at 7.1–7.6% by the end of the year against a target of 4%.** A prediction by [**ЦБ**](https://dgw.tmarket.io/actors/01a1b68c-795f-729b-8f15-b4244280fcdb). Statements are as reported by the cited publishers — not verified by DecisionGateway. > *Инфляцию по итогам года ЦБ ожидает на уровне 7,1–7,6% при цели в 4%.* babr24Published 2026-11-09 [ Read source](https://t.me/babr24/56603) [**ЦБ dossier **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/actors/01a1b68c-795f-729b-8f15-b4244280fcdb) ## **Discussion** ## **Related claims** [**The Central Bank expects inflation to reach about 7% by the end of the year, taking into account planned increases in some regulated prices, so annual inflation is likely to move towards that level by December.**Central Bank · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1ca83-8379-77b8-b52f-b25d9e07cd6a) [**According to the updated forecast, inflation will be 7.1–7.6% in 2026 and will return to 4% in 2027.**Резюме обсуждения ключевой ставки · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d10a-ec38-74fc-bcbe-432b64e20a72) [**The Bank expects inflation to return to the 5% target by the end of 2027.**the Bank · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1ca7f-e325-7bd5-89b6-f170d32de0c6) [**Inflation expectations declined slightly but remain high: 4.3% for one year and 3.4% for five years; overall, everything points to the Fed having to raise rates in December.**truecon · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d110-f58c-7104-b2d0-4d8a582a59ed) [**Inflation of about 9% y/y is forecast by the end of the year.**ЕАБР · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d77c-0569-7b2b-8dcb-af753dada181) [**Inflation is likely to rise slightly above 4% by the end of the year.**Philip Lane · prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1cd10-2d15-7c6a-b798-966996ea29b1) ## **More claims by ЦБ** [**In the baseline scenario, the key rate will remain in double digits throughout 2027, with an average level of 12.5–13.5%.**prediction](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1d997-90c7-7945-b10b-a8b346193626) [**The Central Bank considers the growth of the share of non-cash payments its achievement: it increases the transparency of the financial system, reduces the costs of issuing and collecting cash and takes money out of the shadow sector of the economy.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1cb88-a4c7-7873-a187-a7b187125572) [**A request can be skipped if the bank already has documents for a comparable amount and volumes have not sharply increased.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1bbe5-2792-7802-85f9-83e5dcf4cac1) [**If documents are absent, incomplete or doubtful, or the amount is split, the bank is advised to consider refusing the operation under 115-ФЗ, filing a suspicious operation report and raising the client's risk level.**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1bbe5-278b-77bd-83ce-46e8dc4ffc85) [**According to the Bank of Russia, the recommendation affects a "narrow segment of clients".**statement](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims/01a1bbe5-2785-7795-a8a6-45b073a9247d) [All claims by ЦБ](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims?claimant_id=01a1b68c-795f-729b-8f15-b4244280fcdb) [All claims](https://dgw.tmarket.io/claims) ```json {"@context":"https://schema.org","@graph":[{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/#website","@type":"WebSite","description":"Decisions, events and falsifiable forecasts from 4,000+ Telegram channels — every claim cited. 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