--- title: "Will Grand Theft Auto VI launch on 19 November 2026 as scheduled, without a third delay? — DecisionGateway" description: "Will Grand Theft Auto VI launch on 19 November 2026 as scheduled, without a third delay? Probability, deadline, branches and resolution evidence." canonical_url: "https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts/01a1d0f1-d298-7905-8e9b-75fb84e3fcc0" meta: "og:description": "Will Grand Theft Auto VI launch on 19 November 2026 as scheduled, without a third delay? Probability, deadline, branches and resolution evidence." "og:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg" "og:image:alt": "White network of connected nodes crossed by a timeline on black" "og:image:height": "1024" "og:image:width": "1024" "og:title": "Will Grand Theft Auto VI launch on 19 November 2026 as scheduled, without a third delay? — DecisionGateway" "twitter:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg" --- > Index of every page on this site: [llms.txt](https://dgw.tmarket.io/llms.txt) **Open** / [Event](https://dgw.tmarket.io/events/01a1ca12-e37a-78d0-9746-994bb022cc4e)/closes 20 Nov 2026 14 Nov 2026, 00:01 UTC # **Will Grand Theft Auto VI launch on 19 November 2026 as scheduled, without a third delay?** **98%**probability as of 14 Nov 2026, 00:01 UTC ·+1 pts [**Open event **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/events/01a1ca12-e37a-78d0-9746-994bb022cc4e) [**API record **](https://dgw-api.tmarket.io/v1/forecasts/01a1d0f1-d298-7905-8e9b-75fb84e3fcc0) **Resolves YES if** YES if the game is commercially released (digital unlock and/or physical code-in-box sale) on 19 November 2026 on PS5 and Xbox Series X|S. NO if Rockstar/Take-Two announce a further delay before that date, or the launch does not occur on 19 November 2026. **Model track record** Brier 0.054 · 19 scored · 3 resolved · coin-flip 0.250 [ record](https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts#track) ## **Probability history** 5 recorded points now 98% · +1 pts ## **What changed** Real moves and re-assessments, newest first. 1. 14 Nov 2026, 00:01 UTC**98%**+1 pp New evidence: Rockstar support page confirms midnight-local-time release on 19 Nov 2026 in all regions for PS5 and Xbox Series X|S; pre-loads open since 10 Nov and code-in-box physical copies shipped 12 Nov. No delay signal in any 12-13 Nov coverage. evidence 01a1d75b 2. 13 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC**97%**±0 pp new evidence confirms 19 Nov launch (Independent 13 Nov, boxed copies shipped 12 Nov); held evidence 01a1d536 3. 13 Nov 2026, 04:00 UTC**97%**+1 pp New evidence: Rockstar's own 12 Nov "one week away" post, pre-load live since 10 Nov, game gone gold per Take-Two CEO on 9 Nov earnings call; no delay announced. Nudged up from 0.96. evidence 01a1d310 4. 12 Nov 2026, 22:58 UTC**96%**+1 pp new evidence: T-7 days, gone gold confirmed at 9 Nov Q2 FY2027 call, preload live since 10 Nov, record pre-orders, no date change on storefronts evidence 01a1d1fc 5. 12 Nov 2026, 18:07 UTC**95%**— Probability updated. ## **Branches** Alternatives with their own deadline and condition. mutually exclusive - closes 20 Nov 2026 exclusive Open [**Will Rockstar/Take-Two announce a third delay of GTA VI before 19 November 2026, pushing the launch past that date?**](https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts/01a1d0f2-267e-7ba6-96f1-0b75c41d5143) YES if, on or before 19 November 2026, Rockstar Games or Take-Two publicly announce a new release date later than 19 November 2026 (via Rockstar channels, Take-Two IR release, or a change to the official store listings).**3%** probability ## **Target** Event 01a1ca12-e37a-78d0-9746-994bb022cc4e [**Open event **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/events/01a1ca12-e37a-78d0-9746-994bb022cc4e) [Back to forecasts](https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts) 1 branch ```json {"@context":"https://schema.org","@graph":[{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/#website","@type":"WebSite","description":"Decisions, events and falsifiable forecasts from 4,000+ Telegram channels — every claim cited. 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