predictionSaid on 2026-11-08
With a prolonged closure of the ports, the export capacity of the two countries will be only about 60% of the level before July 2026.
A prediction by UkrAgroConsult, said on 2026-11-08. Statements are as reported by the cited publishers — not verified by DecisionGateway.
Водночас за тривалого закриття портів експортні потужності двох країн становитимуть лише близько 60% від рівня до липня 2026 року.
Related claims
Attacks on ports and shipping are reducing exports and foreign currency revenue, and the state is losing tax revenue.post author · statementFor 2026 it projects exporting between 820,000 and 930,000 tonnes.axtronok · predictionThe main reason for the export decline will be a nearly 11% drop in grain production to 36.12 million tonnes, against a record 40.56 million tonnes last year.аташе USDA в Оттаві · predictionA reduction in wheat production among other large exporters by 13% in 2026 will be an additional factor supporting prices and will limit the ability to compensate for the deficit of Black Sea supplies.UkrAgroConsult · predictionThe export estimate is lower than the official USDA forecast of 30.5 million tonnes but slightly exceeds the forecast of the Canadian Ministry of Agriculture of 28.75 million tonnes.UkrAgroConsult · statementDeterioration in the quality of part of the harvest, including a larger share of third-class spring wheat CWRS and feed grades, will have an additional impact on exports.аташе USDA в Оттаві · prediction
More claims by UkrAgroConsult
Ukraine's share of EU imports fell from 9.42% to 3.82%, though the country retained third place among the largest suppliers.statementIn the first 17 weeks of the season, Ukrainian soybean supplies fell 60.5% to 144.52 thousand tonnes versus 365.61 thousand tonnes a year earlier.statementTotal soybean imports to the EU over this period decreased only 2.4% to 3.79 million tonnes.statementImports from the US fell 59.8% to 577.18 thousand tonnes, and the share of American suppliers dropped to 15.24%.statementBrazil increased its share of total EU soybean imports to 78.39% at the start of the 2026/27 marketing year.statement
All claims by UkrAgroConsult