predictionSaid on 2026-11-08
Such a decline did not prevent the S&P 500 index from setting a new record within two years in the worst case (2022) and within less than a year in the other cases (2011, 2018, 2020, 2025).
A prediction by post author, said on 2026-11-08. Statements are as reported by the cited publishers — not verified by DecisionGateway.
הירידה הזאת לא מנעה ממדד S&P 500 לקבוע שיא חדש תוך שנתיים במקרה הגרוע ביותר (2022) ותוך פחות משנה במקרים האחרים (2011, 2018, 2020, 2025).
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The attached image shows all the cases in which the S&P 500 index fell more than 5% from its peak (after the index set a new record) between May 2009 and today.post author · statementDespite the sharp drop, the S&P 500 is only 6.26% below its all-time high and is up +7.42% since the start of the year.post author · statementThe S&P 500 index fell 4.36%, its worst trading day since 04.04.2025.post author · statementDespite giant companies trading tens of percent below their peak (Google -31%, Meta -21%, Amazon -16%), the S&P 500 is still only 3.37% away from its all-time high and its investors have not yet felt a significant decline.post author · statementA sharp decline of 20-35% from the peak happened a total of 5 times, in the years 2011, 2018, 2020, 2022 and 2025.post author · statementSince March 2009 there were 34 instances in which a decline of 5% or more occurred after the index set a new record.post author · statement