predictionSaid on 2026-11-06
When the average rate on the national debt exceeds 4% per annum, which is confidently approaching, annual interest expenses will approach 5% of GDP.
A prediction by truecon, said on 2026-11-06. Statements are as reported by the cited publishers — not verified by DecisionGateway.
Когда средняя ставка по госдолгу превысит 4% годовых, а к этому уверенно идем, годовые расходы на проценты приблизятся к 5% ВВП.
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The average rate on the national debt accelerated and reached 3.58% per annum, the maximum since spring 2009, though the debt was substantially lower then.truecon · statementOver the last year the national debt grew by $2.5 trillion, and over two years the increase was $4.6 trillion; there are so far no signals that the dynamics will change.truecon · statementThe national debt rose by $353 billion in October to $40.52 trillion (~123% of GDP), with growth mainly driven by market borrowings of +$315 billion.truecon · statementOn the market portion of the debt the rate rose to 3.57%; long- and medium-term debt is still fairly cheap at 3.4-3.5% per annum versus market rates of 4.8-5.3%, and inertial growth here will continue for a long time since paper with rates averaging up to 2.5% per annum is being redeemed.truecon · predictionIn October, budget interest expenses rose 10.6% year-on-year and amounted to $115.5 billion; over the last 12 months expenses totaled $1.37 trillion, about 4.2% of GDP.truecon · statementThe country's expenses in 2025 amounted to 0.7% of GDP, or 1.484 trillion rubles in real terms.Андрей Куликов · statement
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