statement
The structural liquidity deficit averaged ₽3.6 trillion in October, an increase of ₽0.6 trillion over the month.
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структурный дефицит ликвидности в среднем за месяц ₽3.6 трлн, т.е. +₽0.6 трлн за месяц
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Net durable liquidity as on October 15, 2026 was 7,93,409.00 (surplus).RBI liquidity data table · statementThe budget apparently closed October better than expectations again, judging by liquidity flows: despite insignificant borrowing (₽0.13 trillion), deposits in banks grew by ₽0.66 trillion, and another ₽0.2 trillion went to budget accounts at the Central Bank.truecon · statementThe increase in the liquidity deficit was partly due to growth in cash (₽0.2 trillion), partly due to budget operations (₽0.2 trillion) and other factors, including growth in required reserves.truecon · statementThe total deviation of actually received oil and gas revenues from the expected monthly volume and the estimate of the base monthly volume of oil and gas revenues for October 2026 was -78.53 billion rubles.minfin · statementThe outflow into cash over the month was about ₽0.2 trillion, and the slowdown in the outflow continues, though this partly reflects seasonal dynamics since demand for cash always declines in autumn.truecon · statementUS trade deficit came in slightly better than expected at -105.0 billion dollars versus an estimated -107.9 billion and a previous -105.7 billion.analisisbankinter · statement
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Inflation expectations declined slightly but remain high: 4.3% for one year and 3.4% for five years; overall, everything points to the Fed having to raise rates in December.predictionThe financial conditions index is at extremely comfortable levels, the financial stress index likewise, and the key rate can hardly be characterized as tight.statementHourly wage growth accelerated slightly to 0.4% m/m and 3.1% y/y; weekly jobless claims were only 189 thousand, and the number of Americans on benefits was about 1.7 million — lows since 2023.statementThe number of open vacancies rose to 7.5 million, and the ratio of vacancies to unemployed rose to 1.06.statementThe unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, the labor force participation rate rose to 61.9%, and the employment-to-population ratio rose to 59.3% — all indicators improved by 0.1 percentage points over the month.statement
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