prediction
Disinflation in gasoline is expected (-2% w/w) as autumn consumption falls substantially, which by itself balances the market even with the retirement of refining capacity; the question is the scale of the correction.
A prediction by truecon. Statements are as reported by the cited publishers — not verified by DecisionGateway.
Дезинфляция в бензине ожидаема (-2% н/н), осенью потребление существенно сокращается, что само по себе балансирует рынок (даже при выбытии мощностей переработки), вопрос масштабов коррекции.
Related claims
In October the situation on the fuel market stabilized, but the increase in housing and utility tariffs had an additional effect on inflation.Резюме обсуждения ключевой ставки · statementThe expert predicted a rise in prices for gasoline and diesel along with a devaluation of the tenge.эксперт · predictionExperts warn of possible growth in demand for oils, price increases and risks of supply disruptions against the backdrop of permitting the sale of lower environmental class gasoline.эксперты · predictionOctober data are positive, but it is too early to speak of a sustained recovery in consumer demand; the improvement in sentiment partly coincided with lower gasoline prices, while purchasing power remains under pressure.capitalizator_ua · statementInflation in October remained low at 0.0% m/m (sa) and +0.7% y/y; fuel price growth (20% y/y) and smartphones (+16.1% y/y) were offset by falling food prices.truecon · statementThe total deviation of actually received oil and gas revenues from the expected monthly volume and the estimate of the base monthly volume of oil and gas revenues for October 2026 was -78.53 billion rubles.minfin · statement
More claims by truecon
Inflation expectations declined slightly but remain high: 4.3% for one year and 3.4% for five years; overall, everything points to the Fed having to raise rates in December.predictionThe financial conditions index is at extremely comfortable levels, the financial stress index likewise, and the key rate can hardly be characterized as tight.statementHourly wage growth accelerated slightly to 0.4% m/m and 3.1% y/y; weekly jobless claims were only 189 thousand, and the number of Americans on benefits was about 1.7 million — lows since 2023.statementThe number of open vacancies rose to 7.5 million, and the ratio of vacancies to unemployed rose to 1.06.statementThe unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, the labor force participation rate rose to 61.9%, and the employment-to-population ratio rose to 59.3% — all indicators improved by 0.1 percentage points over the month.statement
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