Will Rockstar/Take-Two announce a third delay of GTA VI before 19 November 2026, pushing the launch past that date?
as of 12 Nov 2026, 22:58 UTC ·-1 pts
Resolves YES if
YES if, on or before 19 November 2026, Rockstar Games or Take-Two publicly announce a new release date later than 19 November 2026 (via Rockstar channels, Take-Two IR release, or a change to the official store listings).
Branch of Will Grand Theft Auto VI launch on 19 November 2026 as scheduled, without a third delay?(Open)
Probability history
2 recorded points
now 4% · -1 pts
What changed
Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.
- 4%−1 pp
mirror of parent: gone gold + preload live + no storefront date change leaves small residual delay risk
evidence 01a1d1fc
- 5%—
Probability updated.
Branches
Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.
- this page closes 20 Nov 2026 exclusive OpenWill Rockstar/Take-Two announce a third delay of GTA VI before 19 November 2026, pushing the launch past that date?
YES if, on or before 19 November 2026, Rockstar Games or Take-Two publicly announce a new release date later than 19 November 2026 (via Rockstar channels, Take-Two IR release, or a change to the official store listings).
4%probability
- this page closes 20 Nov 2026 exclusive OpenWill Rockstar/Take-Two announce a third delay of GTA VI before 19 November 2026, pushing the launch past that date?
YES if, on or before 19 November 2026, Rockstar Games or Take-Two publicly announce a new release date later than 19 November 2026 (via Rockstar channels, Take-Two IR release, or a change to the official store listings).
4%probability